← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Rotherham win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield +0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Rotherham +0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Brodie Spencer · Huddersfield |
| 36' | 🟨 | David Kasumu · Huddersfield |
| 54' | 🟨 | Sorba Thomas · Huddersfield |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sorba Thomas · Huddersfield |
| 58' | 🟥 | Sorba Thomas · Huddersfield |
| 68' | 🟨 | Oliver Rathbone · Rotherham |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sebastian Revan · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 18 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 106.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1424.28 | 1548.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.72 | -15.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| league points | 19.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.51 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -1.00 |
| solidity v1 | -1.20 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.94 | 25.36 |
| state index | -1.85 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.06 |