← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 |
| Blackburn win | 22% | 4.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Middlesbrough −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
| 31' | 🟨 | Scott Wharton · Blackburn |
| 57' | 🟨 | Luke Ayling · Middlesbrough |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ryan Hedges · Blackburn |
| 89' | 🟨 | Yasin Ayari · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sam Greenwood · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 532.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1640.27 | 1535.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.61 | -6.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 42.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| league points | 53.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.86 | 25.07 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| travel km | — | 125.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 0.71 |