← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Mar 12, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Birmingham win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Middlesbrough +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Riley McGree · Middlesbrough |
| 23' | 🟨 | Jonathan Howson · Middlesbrough |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park |
| coach days | 11.00 | 528.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1515.89 | 1631.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.27 | 8.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 39.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | 0.39 |
| solidity v1 | -1.24 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.65 | 25.90 |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.41 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 237.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 1.29 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.84 | 0.92 |