← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 70% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.12 |
| Rotherham win | 11% | 9.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Rotherham −1.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Gabriel Sara · Norwich |
| 21' | ⚽ | Jacob Lungi Sørensen · Norwich |
| 32' | ⚽ | Borja Sainz · Norwich |
| 45' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 47' | ⚽ | Gabriel Sara · Norwich |
| 74' | 🟨 | Liam Gibbs · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 2 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 433.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1639.30 | 1431.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.21 | -31.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 55.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 0.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -0.76 |
| solidity v1 | 0.27 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.91 | 29.94 |
| state index | 0.64 | -1.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.07 |