← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Plymouth win | 23% | 4.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Plymouth −0.5 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 33' | 🟨 | Callum Brittain · Blackburn |
| 54' | 🟥 | Kyle McFadzean · Blackburn |
| 56' | 🟨 | Bali Mumba · Plymouth |
| 74' | ⚽ | Morgan Whittaker · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yasin Ayari · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 37.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1536.25 | 1581.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.33 | -27.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.90 | 66.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 40.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -1.28 |
| solidity v1 | 0.80 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.07 | — |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.64 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.87 |