← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Mar 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 72% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.55 |
| Rotherham win | 11% | 9.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham −1.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Coventry −1.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 23' | ⚽ | Joel Latibeaudiere · Coventry |
| 27' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 37' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jordan Hugill · Rotherham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fábio Tavares · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 2561.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1670.68 | 1437.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.37 | -33.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| league points | 51.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 3.99 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 0.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.89 |
| solidity v1 | 0.84 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 29.94 |
| state index | 0.07 | -1.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.46 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 0.94 |