← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Mar 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Millwall win | 27% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Millwall −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Japhet Tanganga · Millwall |
| 54' | ⚽ | Michael Obafemi · Millwall |
| 63' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1537.64 | 1549.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.35 | -9.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.70 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 39.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 32.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -1.90 |
| solidity v1 | 0.35 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 25.29 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.76 |