← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Welch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Blackburn win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Blackburn −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Joe Allen · Swansea |
| 15' | 🟨 | Kyle McFadzean · Blackburn |
| 19' | ⚽ | Jamie Paterson · Swansea |
| 34' | 🟨 | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 67' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 72' | 🟨 | Josh Tymon · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 61.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1594.84 | 1544.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.92 | 9.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 46.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 39.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | -1.10 |
| solidity v1 | -0.10 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.29 | 25.07 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 251.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 0.87 |