← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 58% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
| Rotherham win | 16% | 6.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Rotherham −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Tom Eaves · Rotherham |
| 33' | 🟨 | Isaac Hayden · QPR |
| 38' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Rotherham |
| 42' | 🟨 | Joe Hodge · QPR |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jack Colback · QPR |
| 61' | ⚽ | Paul Smyth · QPR |
| 75' | ⚽ | Chris Willock · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paul Smyth · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 146.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1512.34 | 1452.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.95 | -29.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -1.07 |
| solidity v1 | 0.44 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.64 | 29.94 |
| state index | 0.01 | -1.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.82 |