← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 63% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.81 |
| Birmingham win | 15% | 6.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich −1 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Birmingham −1 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Conor Chaplin · Ipswich |
| 43' | 🟨 | Cameron Burgess · Ipswich |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jordan James · Birmingham |
| 50' | 🟨 | Massimo Luongo · Ipswich |
| 54' | 🟨 | Sam Morsy · Ipswich |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ivan Šunjić · Birmingham |
| 81' | ⚽ | Jeremy Sarmiento · Ipswich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Omari Hutchinson · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 26 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 815.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1754.78 | 1529.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.99 | 17.25 |
| eye test v1 | 1.19 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 69.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.51 |
| solidity v1 | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 26.69 |
| state index | 0.70 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 210.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 1.23 |