← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Feb 20, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Plymouth win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Plymouth +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 57' | 🟨 | Bali Mumba · Plymouth |
| 61' | ⚽ | Cédric Kipré · West Brom |
| 76' | ⚽ | Michael Johnston · West Brom |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tom Fellows · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 17 |
| 0 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 50.00 | 507.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1598.30 | 1664.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.42 | -14.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.64 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 37.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | 0.55 |
| solidity v1 | -0.29 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | — | 29.25 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.03 |