← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Wed, Feb 14, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Plymouth win | 29% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Plymouth +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Adam Randell · Plymouth |
| 54' | ⚽ | Morgan Whittaker · Plymouth |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 65' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mickel Miller · Plymouth |
| 75' | 🟨 | Joel Latibeaudiere · Coventry |
| 85' | 🟨 | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
| 90' | ⚽ | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 44.00 | 2541.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 3.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1607.82 | 1697.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.88 | 15.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| league points | 36.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 3.32 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | 0.87 |
| solidity v1 | -0.02 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.70 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.82 |