← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Feb 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Blackburn win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Birmingham −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Jake Garrett · Blackburn |
| 52' | 🟨 | Dominic Hyam · Blackburn |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ethan Laird · Birmingham |
| 77' | ⚽ | Andre Dozzell · Birmingham |
| 87' | 🟨 | Siriki Dembélé · Birmingham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| venue | St Andrew's Stadium |
| coach days | 43.00 | 12.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1508.75 | 1547.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.60 | -16.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| league points | 32.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 3.99 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | 0.80 |
| solidity v1 | 0.03 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.67 | 25.07 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 145.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.68 |