← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Norwich win | 35% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Norwich +0 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Ben Gibson · Norwich |
| 27' | ⚽ | Jack Colback · QPR |
| 48' | ⚽ | Kenny McLean · Norwich |
| 52' | 🟨 | Kenny McLean · Norwich |
| 62' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 76' | 🟨 | Grant Hanley · Norwich |
| 77' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · QPR |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ilias Chair · QPR |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jake Clarke-Salter · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sam McCallum · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 25 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 132.00 | 405.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1503.46 | 1627.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.89 | 35.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| league points | 28.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | 0.75 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.83 | 28.37 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 162.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.49 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.10 |