← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 82% | 1.17 |
| Draw | 12% | 9.05 |
| Rotherham win | 5% | 21.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds −2 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Rotherham −2 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Patrick Bamford · Leeds |
| 18' | 🟨 | Jordan Hugill · Rotherham |
| 52' | ⚽ | Crysencio Summerville · Leeds |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Crysencio Summerville · Leeds |
| 73' | 🟨 | Sam Nombe · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 224.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1761.59 | 1475.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.89 | -3.99 |
| eye test v1 | 1.29 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 60.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 33.00 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | -1.82 |
| solidity v1 | 2.01 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 24.22 | 29.94 |
| state index | 1.52 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.61 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.05 | 0.83 |