← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Stoke win | 32% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Blackburn −0.25 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 19' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 29' | 🟨 | Luke McNally · Stoke |
| 37' | ⚽ | Tyrhys Dolan · Blackburn |
| 39' | ⚽ | Niall Ennis · Stoke |
| 54' | 🟨 | Junior Tchamadeu · Stoke |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 9.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1535.31 | 1541.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.89 | -19.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 33.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.47 | 0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -1.18 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 25.03 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 85.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.00 |