← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Plymouth win | 27% | 3.71 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Swansea −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Morgan Whittaker · Plymouth |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ben Cabango · Swansea |
| 71' | 🟨 | Oliver Cooper · Swansea |
| 71' | 🟨 | Conor Hazard · Plymouth |
| 76' | 🟨 | Darko Gyabi · Plymouth |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mickel Miller · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1601.75 | 1607.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.71 | 5.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.88 |
| solidity v1 | -1.95 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.34 | — |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -1.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.27 | 1.53 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 1.20 |