← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Gill
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 73% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.79 |
| Rotherham win | 10% | 10.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +1.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Southampton +1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Jan Bednarek · Southampton |
| 38' | ⚽ | Adam Armstrong · Southampton |
| 57' | 🟨 | Flynn Downes · Southampton |
| 60' | 🟨 | Stuart Armstrong · Southampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 64.00 | 217.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 9.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 4.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.71 |
| elo | 1482.36 | 1745.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.81 | 35.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.30 | 1.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| league points | 19.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 91.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.60 | 68.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.68 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 10.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.80 | 2.45 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | 1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 29.94 | 26.51 |
| state index | -0.32 | 1.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.03 | 1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.77 | 2.45 |