β EFL Championship 2023-24 Β· Sat, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G. Eltringham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 |
| QPR win | 24% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn β0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| QPR β0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | π¨ | Sondre Tronstad Β· Blackburn |
| 41' | π¨ | Sinclair Armstrong Β· QPR |
| 54' | π¨ | Elijah Dixon-Bonner Β· QPR |
| 61' | β½ (og) | Aynsley Pears Β· QPR |
| 64' | β½ | Joe Hodge Β· QPR |
| 73' | β½ | Sam Gallagher Β· Blackburn |
| 90' | π¨ | Yasin Ayari Β· Blackburn |
| 90' | π¨ | Asmir BegoviΔ Β· QPR |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 2.00 | 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.34 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1548.59 | 1490.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.64 | 6.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| league points | 33.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 6.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.55 | 0.16 |
| solidity v1 | -1.30 | 1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 28.83 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.31 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| travel km | β | 290.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 0.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 0.87 |