← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Millwall win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Millwall +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Ilias Chair · QPR |
| 32' | 🟨 | Billy Mitchell · Millwall |
| 85' | 🟨 | Zian Flemming · Millwall |
| 85' | ⚽ | Sinclair Armstrong · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 2 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 111.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1473.18 | 1584.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.44 | 15.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 21.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.38 |
| solidity v1 | 0.61 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.83 | 24.71 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.67 | 1.14 |