← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bond
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 73% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.55 |
| Rotherham win | 9% | 11.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham −1.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Middlesbrough −1.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Sean Morrison · Rotherham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough |
| 59' | ⚽ | Cafú · Rotherham |
| 69' | 🟨 | Viktor Johansson · Rotherham |
| 73' | 🟨 | Sam Clucas · Rotherham |
| 82' | ⚽ | Marcus Forss · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 476.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1653.87 | 1476.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.13 | 8.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | -1.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 39.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 32.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | -1.71 |
| solidity v1 | 0.52 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 23.53 | 29.94 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.63 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 0.68 |