← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Jan 20, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.42 |
| Swansea win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea +1 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Southampton +1 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Che Adams · Southampton |
| 17' | 🟨 | Taylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton |
| 20' | ⚽ | Will Smallbone · Southampton |
| 40' | ⚽ | Jamie Paterson · Swansea |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jay Fulton · Swansea |
| 45' | ⚽ | Flynn Downes · Southampton |
| 78' | 🟨 | Harry Darling · Swansea |
| 90' | 🟨 | Shea Charles · Southampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 15 | Shots | 21 |
| 6 | On target | 10 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 19.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.28 | 4.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1619.64 | 1732.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.21 | 28.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 1.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.79 |
| league points | 33.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 91.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 69.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 2.57 |
| solidity v1 | -0.99 | 1.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 26.97 | 26.59 |
| state index | 0.05 | 1.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | 1.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 195.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 0.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 2.54 |