← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Swansea win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| West Brom +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Ben Cabango · Swansea |
| 49' | 🟨 | Josh Tymon · Swansea |
| 55' | ⚽ | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 0.00 | 457.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 9.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.48 | 3.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1610.81 | 1679.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.75 | 12.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| league points | 29.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.78 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| solidity v1 | -1.00 | 1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 27.92 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.13 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 165.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 0.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 1.11 |