← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Cardiff win | 29% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| QPR −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Dimitris Goutas · Cardiff |
| 52' | ⚽ | Paul Smyth · QPR |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mark McGuinness · Cardiff |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · Cardiff |
| 74' | ⚽ | Perry Ng · Cardiff |
| 85' | 🟨 | Morgan Fox · QPR |
| 89' | 🟨 | Perry Ng · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonathan Panzo · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ebou Adams · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 92.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 3.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1490.57 | 1565.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.50 | -22.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 21.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | -0.02 |
| solidity v1 | 0.53 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.83 | 28.24 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 205.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.72 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.76 |