← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 76% | 79% | 1.25 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 15% | 6.24 | fair |
| Huddersfield win | 8% | 6% | 12.62 | fair |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −1.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Leicester −1.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Thomas Cannon · Leicester |
| 47' | ⚽ | Ricardo Pereira · Leicester |
| 61' | ⚽ | Thomas Cannon · Leicester |
| 63' | ⚽ | Michał Helik · Huddersfield |
| 76' | 🟨 | Loick Ayina · Huddersfield |
| 77' | ⚽ | Stephy Mavididi · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.85 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 184.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1839.75 | 1545.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.46 | -17.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.88 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 62.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 89.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.48 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.91 | -0.50 |
| solidity v1 | 1.10 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.61 | 26.71 |
| state index | 1.20 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.75 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 122.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.74 | 1.29 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 0.82 |