← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 75% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.25 |
| Birmingham win | 9% | 10.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham −1.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Leeds −1.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.48 |
| Under | 35% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Jay Stansfield · Birmingham |
| 34' | ⚽ | Patrick Bamford · Leeds |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ivan Šunjić · Birmingham |
| 45' | ⚽ | Daniel James · Leeds |
| 67' | ⚽ | Crysencio Summerville · Leeds |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 8 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leeds | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Elland Road |
| coach days | 184.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1726.70 | 1517.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.10 | -3.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.61 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.40 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| league points | 45.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 2.78 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.61 | -0.77 |
| solidity v1 | 1.27 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 25.99 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.15 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 146.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.13 |