← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Mon, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Gillett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.85 |
| Rotherham win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −1 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Rotherham −1 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Arnór Sigurðsson · Blackburn |
| 30' | ⚽ | Sean Morrison · Rotherham |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sean Morrison · Rotherham |
| 46' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 82' | ⚽ | Tom Eaves · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 579.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -6.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| elo | 1564.03 | 1482.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.93 | -1.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 31.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 32.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 6.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | -1.60 |
| solidity v1 | -1.94 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 29.94 |
| state index | -0.85 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.67 |