β EFL Championship 2023-24 Β· Fri, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| QPR win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR β1 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Ipswich β1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | π¨ | Conor Chaplin Β· Ipswich |
| 52' | π¨ | Luke Woolfenden Β· Ipswich |
| 83' | π¨ | Asmir BegoviΔ Β· QPR |
| 86' | π¨ | Marcus Harness Β· Ipswich |
| 90' | π¨ | Ziyad Larkeche Β· QPR |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 758.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.22 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1750.95 | 1483.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.30 | -3.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.48 | 0.71 |
| league points | 53.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.28 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.21 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| solidity v1 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 28.83 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| travel km | β | 112.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 0.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.91 |