← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Fri, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| Swansea win | 21% | 4.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Coventry −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.78 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Liam Walsh · Swansea |
| 10' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 26' | 🟨 | Luis Binks · Coventry |
| 36' | 🟨 | Liam Walsh · Swansea |
| 39' | 🟨 | Matt Grimes · Swansea |
| 65' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 68' | 🟨 | Josh Tymon · Swansea |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jamal Lowe · Swansea |
| 90' | ⚽ | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | The Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 2494.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 5.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1668.34 | 1607.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.32 | -8.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.89 | 0.67 |
| league points | 33.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 1.16 |
| solidity v1 | 0.19 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 26.66 |
| state index | 0.84 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | 1.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| travel km | — | 189.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.39 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.05 |