← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 52% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| QPR win | 21% | 4.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Southampton +0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ | Taylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton |
| 45' | 🟨 | Elijah Dixon-Bonner · QPR |
| 45' | 🟨 | Joe Aribo · Southampton |
| 68' | 🟨 | Shea Charles · Southampton |
| 71' | 🟨 | Che Adams · Southampton |
| 89' | 🟨 | Shea Charles · Southampton |
| 89' | 🟥 | Shea Charles · Southampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Stephens · Southampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 83.00 | 175.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.35 | 4.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1498.61 | 1703.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.80 | 26.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.69 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 20.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 90.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 67.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | 2.34 |
| solidity v1 | 1.27 | 1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.83 | 25.49 |
| state index | 0.47 | 0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | 1.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 104.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.77 |