← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 |
| Rotherham win | 20% | 4.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Rotherham −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Jamie Lindsay · Rotherham |
| 25' | 🟨 | Daniel Ayala · Rotherham |
| 36' | 🟨 | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sam Nombe · Rotherham |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Finn Azaz · Plymouth |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jamie Lindsay · Rotherham |
| 52' | ⚽ | Finn Azaz · Plymouth |
| 55' | 🟨 | Daniel Ayala · Rotherham |
| 55' | 🟥 | Daniel Ayala · Rotherham |
| 77' | ⚽ | Tom Eaves · Rotherham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Viktor Johansson |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Home Park |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oliver Rathbone · Rotherham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Morgan Whittaker · Plymouth |
| coach days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1600.97 | 1473.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.11 | -19.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| league points | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 33.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 0.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | -1.90 |
| solidity v1 | -0.88 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 29.94 |
| state index | 0.06 | -1.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.46 | -1.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 1.72 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 0.59 |