← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Wed, Dec 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Harrington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Plymouth win | 28% | 3.48 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Plymouth −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Samuel Field · QPR |
| 25' | 🟥 | Dan Scarr · Plymouth |
| 31' | 🟨 | Kenneth Paal · QPR |
| 86' | 🟨 | Luke Cundle · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Conor Hazard · Plymouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matt Butcher · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 29 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 73.00 | 12.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.73 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1505.07 | 1602.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 55.18 | 2.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.75 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.40 |
| solidity v1 | 1.39 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.83 | — |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.64 | 1.84 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.11 |