← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 41% | 2.38 |
| QPR win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Hull +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Chris Willock · QPR |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Hull |
| 70' | 🟨 | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jean Michaël Seri · Hull |
| 73' | ⚽ | Ilias Chair · QPR |
| 87' | 🟨 | Liam Delap · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 69.00 | 403.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.16 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1486.67 | 1626.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.00 | -7.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 1.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| league points | 16.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 88.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 63.60 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 1.95 |
| solidity v1 | 1.56 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 9.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.40 |
| squad age | 28.83 | 25.75 |
| state index | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 248.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 1.76 |