← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Wed, Nov 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 54% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Birmingham win | 22% | 4.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Birmingham −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Emanuel Aiwu · Birmingham |
| 31' | 🟨 | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
| 33' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 35' | 🟨 | Krystian Bielik · Birmingham |
| 47' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 52' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
| 59' | ⚽ | James Hill · Blackburn |
| 63' | ⚽ | Siriki Dembélé · Birmingham |
| 78' | ⚽ | Siriki Dembélé · Birmingham |
| 80' | 🟨 | Adam Wharton · Blackburn |
| 87' | 🟨 | Harry Leonard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 26 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| 90' | ⚽ | Harry Leonard · Blackburn |
| coach days | 546.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1623.62 | 1541.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.04 | -19.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| league points | 25.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -1.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.32 | -1.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 26.97 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -1.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 145.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 0.82 |