← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Tue, Nov 28, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 36% | 2.69 |
| QPR win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0.25 | 57% | 1.70 |
| Stoke +0.25 | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Enda Stevens · Stoke |
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 19' | 🟨 | Wouter Burger · Stoke |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ryan Mmaee · Stoke |
| 53' | 🟨 | Enda Stevens · Stoke |
| 53' | 🟥 | Enda Stevens · Stoke |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ryan Mmaee · Stoke |
| 56' | 🟨 | Tyrese Campbell · Stoke |
| 59' | ⚽ | Wouter Burger · Stoke |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lynden Gooch · Stoke |
| 79' | ⚽ | Lyndon Dykes · QPR |
| 82' | 🟨 | Daniel Johnson · Stoke |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jack Colback · QPR |
| 89' | ⚽ (og) | Ben Pearson · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Asmir Begović · QPR |
| 90' | ⚽ | Chris Willock · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 58.00 | 484.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.35 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1446.81 | 1571.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.67 | 15.31 |
| eye test v1 | -1.45 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| league points | 10.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.59 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | 0.46 |
| solidity v1 | 0.65 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.83 | 27.25 |
| state index | -1.00 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| travel km | — | 211.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.76 |