β EFL Championship 2023-24 Β· Sat, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 |
| QPR win | 20% | 4.85 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR β0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Norwich β0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | β½ | Ui-Jo Hwang Β· Norwich |
| 48' | π¨ | Jack Colback Β· QPR |
| 72' | π¨ | Chris Willock Β· QPR |
| 77' | π¨ | Gabriel Sara Β· Norwich |
| 80' | π¨ | Andre Dozzell Β· QPR |
| 84' | π¨ | Christian Fassnacht Β· Norwich |
| 90' | π¨ | Ashley Barnes Β· Norwich |
| 90' | π¨ | Kenny McLean Β· Norwich |
| 90' | π¨ | Steve Cook Β· QPR |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 328.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1573.75 | 1452.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.42 | -8.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -1.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | β |
| league points | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | -0.71 |
| solidity v1 | -1.31 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 28.83 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| travel km | β | 162.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 0.53 |