← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Nov 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Eltringham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 39% | 2.52 |
| QPR win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Bristol City +0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Cameron Pring · Bristol City |
| 63' | 🟨 | Paul Smyth · QPR |
| 67' | 🟨 | Samuel Field · QPR |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jason Knight · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 0 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | MATRADE Loftus Road |
| coach days | 41.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1449.89 | 1584.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.69 | -7.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | — |
| league points | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -0.50 |
| solidity v1 | -0.40 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.83 | 27.76 |
| state index | -1.27 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.68 |