← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Nov 11, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Birmingham win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Birmingham −0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Jobe Bellingham · Sunderland |
| 18' | 🟨 | Ethan Laird · Birmingham |
| 30' | ⚽ | Koji Miyoshi · Birmingham |
| 39' | 🟨 | Patrick Roberts · Sunderland |
| 45' | 🟨 | Trai Hume · Sunderland |
| 46' | 🟨 | Jordan James · Birmingham |
| 57' | ⚽ (og) | Dion Sanderson · Sunderland |
| 76' | ⚽ | Adil Aouchiche · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 467.00 | 41.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1661.59 | 1541.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.46 | -8.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| league points | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 37.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.12 | -0.97 |
| solidity v1 | 0.11 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 23.85 | 26.86 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 272.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 0.84 |