← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Nov 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Barrott
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Rotherham win | 32% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| QPR +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Ilias Chair · QPR |
| 21' | 🟨 | Cohen Bramall · Rotherham |
| 37' | 🟨 | Sam Clucas · Rotherham |
| 50' | ⚽ | Ilias Chair · QPR |
| 70' | ⚽ | Georgie Kelly · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 3.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 3.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1502.76 | 1446.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.32 | -34.40 |
| eye test v1 | -1.26 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.81 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.80 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 6.08 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.02 | -1.31 |
| solidity v1 | -1.17 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.76 |
| state index | -0.34 | -1.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.35 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.81 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.60 |