← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Wed, Oct 25, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Hull win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Birmingham −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Liam Delap · Hull |
| 55' | 🟨 | Kevin Long · Birmingham |
| 55' | 🟨 | Liam Delap · Hull |
| 74' | ⚽ | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juninho Bacuna · Birmingham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | St Andrew's Stadium |
| coach days | 24.00 | 358.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1560.46 | 1611.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.39 | -6.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| league points | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 1.07 |
| solidity v1 | -0.33 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 25.64 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 173.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 0.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.27 |