← EFL Championship 2023-24 · Sat, Aug 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 59% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Rotherham win | 17% | 5.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Sunderland −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Dennis Cirkin · Sunderland |
| 20' | ⚽ | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 22' | ⚽ | Jobe Bellingham · Sunderland |
| 33' | 🟨 | Cohen Bramall · Rotherham |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jobe Bellingham · Sunderland |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jobe Bellingham · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 383.00 | 352.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.51 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1628.52 | 1526.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.63 | -9.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | -1.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 59.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 33.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.71 | -2.73 |
| solidity v1 | 0.78 | -1.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 23.32 | — |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | -1.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 2.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 0.79 |