← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Swansea win | 33% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| West Brom +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.66 |
| Under | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Okay Yokuşlu · West Brom |
| 26' | ⚽ | Luke Cundle · Swansea |
| 54' | ⚽ | Semi Ajayi · West Brom |
| 66' | ⚽ | Olivier Ntcham · Swansea |
| 76' | 🟨 | Brandon Thomas-Asante · West Brom |
| 80' | 🟨 | Oliver Cooper · Swansea |
| 85' | 🟨 | Taylor Gardner-Hickman · West Brom |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joël Piroe · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 645.00 | 219.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1634.94 | 1626.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 56.13 | 10.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 63.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 89.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 2.23 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.93 | 28.11 |
| state index | 1.11 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.70 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 165.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |