← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Pawson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Blackburn win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Blackburn −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Duncan Watmore · Millwall |
| 22' | ⚽ | Adam Wharton · Blackburn |
| 37' | ⚽ | Duncan Watmore · Millwall |
| 39' | ⚽ | Oliver Burke · Millwall |
| 51' | ⚽ | Joe Rankin-Costello · Blackburn |
| 63' | ⚽ | Ben Brereton Díaz · Blackburn |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jake Cooper · Millwall |
| 86' | ⚽ | Ben Brereton Díaz · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Den |
| coach days | 1315.00 | 341.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1638.43 | 1597.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.94 | -5.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 68.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 9.79 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.71 | 25.07 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |