← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Coventry win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Middlesbrough −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Gustavo Hamer · Coventry |
| 26' | 🟨 | Liam Kelly · Coventry |
| 45' | ⚽ | Cameron Archer · Middlesbrough |
| 69' | 🟨 | Kyle McFadzean · Coventry |
| 82' | 🟨 | Isaiah Jones · Middlesbrough |
| 82' | 🟨 | Callum Doyle · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 219.00 | 2259.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1690.88 | 1655.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.26 | 23.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.44 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 74.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.32 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.88 | — |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.28 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 237.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |