← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 75% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.50 |
| Cardiff win | 10% | 10.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff −1.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Burnley −1.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.52 |
| Under | 36% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Josh Brownhill · Burnley |
| 31' | ⚽ | Ashley Barnes · Burnley |
| 36' | 🟨 | Connor Roberts · Burnley |
| 57' | ⚽ | Scott Twine · Burnley |
| 64' | 🟨 | Mahlon Romeo · Cardiff |
| 87' | 🟨 | Perry Ng · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Turf Moor |
| coach days | 341.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1821.77 | 1538.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.97 | 15.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.72 |
| league points | 98.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 2.18 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.70 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.24 | 28.24 |
| state index | 0.80 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.31 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 265.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |