← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Birmingham win | 24% | 4.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Birmingham +0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | ⚽ | Oliver McBurnie · Sheffield United |
| 56' | ⚽ | James McAtee · Sheffield United |
| 71' | 🟨 | Harlee Dean · Birmingham |
| 79' | ⚽ | Dion Sanderson · Birmingham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | St Andrew's Stadium |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 311.00 | 553.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1520.36 | 1738.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.61 | 13.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.27 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| league points | 53.00 | 88.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 28.77 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 102.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |