← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, May 1, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: D. England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Luton win | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Luton −0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | ⚽ | Tom Lockyer · Luton |
| 72' | 🟨 | Dominic Hyam · Blackburn |
| 86' | ⚽ | Hayden Carter · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sammie Szmodics · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 334.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1595.32 | 1722.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.32 | 20.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.81 |
| league points | 65.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.07 | 26.86 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.11 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 247.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |