← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Mon, May 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Rotherham win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +0.5 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Middlesbrough +0.5 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jamie Lindsay · Rotherham |
| 45' | 🟥 | Anfernee Dijksteel · Middlesbrough |
| 48' | ⚽ | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 68' | 🟨 | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 79' | 🟨 | Cohen Bramall · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 242.00 | 212.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1524.81 | 1704.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.04 | 2.86 |
| eye test v1 | -1.28 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 46.00 | 74.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 3.71 | 6.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.07 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 24.88 |
| state index | -0.82 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |