← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 29, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
| Norwich win | 22% | 4.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Norwich −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Sam Byram · Norwich |
| 41' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 45' | ⚽ | Conor Townsend · West Brom |
| 53' | 🟨 | Liam Gibbs · Norwich |
| 56' | ⚽ | Jed Wallace · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 210.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1618.31 | 1609.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.82 | -25.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 63.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.94 | 24.96 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 221.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |