← EFL Championship 2022-23 · Sat, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
| Watford win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Sunderland −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Hamza Choudhury · Watford |
| 17' | ⚽ | Christian Kabasele · Watford |
| 19' | 🟨 | Ryan Porteous · Watford |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jack Clarke · Sunderland |
| 65' | 🟨 | Keinan Davis · Watford |
| 69' | ⚽ | Ryan Porteous · Watford |
| 70' | ⚽ | Luke O'Nien · Sunderland |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luke O'Nien · Sunderland |
| 84' | 🟨 | Amad Diallo · Sunderland |
| 90' | ⚽ | Patrick Roberts · Sunderland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sunderland | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadium of Light |
| coach days | 271.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1634.07 | 1580.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.35 | -28.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 65.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 23.10 | 26.41 |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 368.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |